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Detect Anomalies Against a Rolling Baseline

Compute a 7-day rolling median and alert when the current value exceeds 3 sigma so a gradual regression is caught not just spikes.

~25 minobservabilityanomalybaseline

Task

Instrument const median = rollingMedian(values, 7); const anomaly = Math.abs(v - median) > 3 * std; so on-call engineers can diagnose an incident without guessing at log lines.

When to use this

An outage lasts 47 minutes because the team cannot correlate const median = rollingMedian(values, 7); const anomaly = Math.abs(v - median) > 3 * std; across services without structured traces.

Prerequisites

  • An application with structured logging available
  • A metrics or tracing backend configured

Steps

1. Configure const median = rollingMedian(values, 7); const anomaly = Math.abs(v - median) > 3 * std; in the project configuration file with the recommended defaults.

const median = rollingMedian(values, 7); const anomaly = Math.abs(v - median) > 3 * std;

Expected output: The configuration is accepted and const median = rollingMedian(values, 7); const anomaly = Math.abs(v - median) > 3 * std; runs without errors on the first invocation.

2. Run the check locally to verify const median = rollingMedian(values, 7); const anomaly = Math.abs(v - median) > 3 * std; produces the expected result before pushing.

pnpm test

Expected output: Local run matches CI behavior; no surprises after push.

3. Add the gate to the CI pipeline so const median = rollingMedian(values, 7); const anomaly = Math.abs(v - median) > 3 * std; blocks merge on failure.

- name: Run add anomaly detection baseline
  run: pnpm test

Expected output: Pull requests with failing const median = rollingMedian(values, 7); const anomaly = Math.abs(v - median) > 3 * std; are blocked from merging.

Troubleshooting

Problem

The check passes locally but fails in CI

Solution

Pin dependency versions and the runtime to match CI exactly; reproduce with the same Docker image or act.

Problem

Configuration is rejected with a schema error

Solution

Check the tool version matches the config schema; older versions may not support newer fields.

Limitations

  • The gate only runs on events that trigger the workflow; locally pushed commits bypass it.
  • Configuration drift is possible if someone edits settings outside version control.

Make the system observable

Start by measuring the problem. Compute a 7-day rolling median and alert when the current value exceeds 3 sigma so a gradual regression is caught not just spikes. The most common mistake is adding the gate without first confirming it catches the issue you care about. Run const median = rollingMedian(values, 7); const anomaly = Math.abs(v - median) > 3 * std; against the current codebase and inspect the output before wiring it into CI.

const median = rollingMedian(values, 7); const anomaly = Math.abs(v - median) > 3 * std;

Correlate across services

Once the gate is in place, make failures actionable. A failing const median = rollingMedian(values, 7); const anomaly = Math.abs(v - median) > 3 * std; should point to the exact file and line, not a generic error. Pin the tool version in the lockfile so a upstream release does not silently change behavior. Review the gate output in every pull request just like a test result.